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Is Population Growth Bad for the Environment?

  • Xiangbo Liu , Ting Levy EMAIL logo , Chi-Chur Chao and Mengbo Zhang

Abstract

The relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation has been central to the debate over sustainable growth. This paper uses utility growth as an index of sustainable growth, which is positively related to economic growth and negatively related to environmental degradation. Skilled and unskilled labor are used in this economy and the population is growing over time generating growth without scale effects. The pollution growth rate is higher in a decentralized economy, whereas the sustainable growth rate is higher in an economy with a social planner. An increased rate of population growth is associated with a higher sustainable growth rate in both economies. A higher share of skilled labor is associated with a higher sustainable growth rate in a decentralized economy, while the effect of a higher share of skilled labor is ambiguous in an economy with a social planner.

JEL Classification: Q56; Q32

Funding statement: This work was supported by the Beijing Social Science Fund; [14JGC119].

Acknowledgments

We are indebted to two anonymous referees for valuable comments and suggestions. Xiangbo Liu acknowledges the research support by the Beijing Social Science Fund (Grant no. 14JGC119).

Appendix

A Equilibrium Solution

The current-value Hamiltonian function is:

(52)H=ln(AhMαlM1α)εlnZ¯+μAhA/β=ln(AhMαlM1α)εlnZ¯+μA(ShM)/β

where μ denotes the shadow price associated with technology accumulation.

The first-order conditions are:

(53)HhM=αhMμAβ=0
(54)μμ=ρn1μAShMβ

The growth rate of technology gA and its shadow price μ are constant along the balanced growth path. Taking logarithms and differentiating eq. (53) with respect to time, we have:

(55)AA+μμ=0

Substituting AA=ShMβ and (A3) into (A4), we obtain ρn1μA=0. Together with the first-order conditions, we can solve for eqs (20)–(24).

B First-Best Solution

Consider the current-value Hamiltonian:

H=ln(AhMαlM1α)εlnZ+μAhAβ+τZ(ϕ1hM+ϕ2lMγhZσlZ1σ)
(56)+λh(ShMhAhZ)+λl(1SlMlZ)

where μ and τ are the shadow prices of technology accumulation and the pollution emissions respectively. Note that λh and λl are the Lagrange multipliers associated with the full employment conditions for skilled and unskilled labor respectively.

The first-order conditions are:

(57)HhM=αhM+τϕ1Zλh=0
(58)HhA=μAβλh=0
(59)HhZ=τZγσhZσ1lZ1σλh=0
(60)HlM=1αlM+τϕ2Zλl=0
(61)HlZ=τZγ(1σ)hZσlZσλl=0
(62)μμ=ρn1μAhAβ

and,

(63)ττ=ρn+ετZϕ1hMϕ2lM+γhZσlZ1σ

The growth rates of technology, consumption and pollution emissions are constant along the balanced growth path. Taking logarithms and differentiating eqs (62) and (63) with respect to time, we have AA+μμ=0 and ττ+zz=0, implying that ρn1μA=0and ρn+ετz=0. Together with the first-order conditions, we can solve for eqs (32)–(36).

C Second-Best Solution

Consider the current-value Hamiltonian:

(64)H=ln(AhMαlM1α)εlnZ+μAhAβ+τZ(ϕ1hM+ϕ2lM)+λh(ShMhA)

where μ and τ are the shadow prices of the technology accumulation and the pollution emissions respectively and where λh is the Lagrange multiplier associated with the full employment condition for skilled labor.

The first-order conditions are:

(65)HhM=αhM+τϕ1Zλh=0
(66)HhA=μAβλh=0
(67)μμ=ρn1μAhAβ

and,

(68)ττ=ρn+ετZϕ1hMϕ2lM

Using these first-order conditions, we can solve for eqs (47)–(51).

D Comparative Statics

We have derived the long-run growth rate of technology growth, the growth rate of pollution emissions and the sustainable growth rate of the economy under three different settings: the equilibrium, the first-best and the second-best. Table 1 can be used to show the effects on these growth rates when population and skilled labor change.

Table 1:

Growth Effects of Changes in Population and Skilled Labor

gA0gAgASBgZ0gZgZSBgU0gUgUSB
n+?++++
S+++++?+

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Published Online: 2017-7-4

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