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Prediciton of Emergency Events: A Multi-Task Multi-Label Learning Approach

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Abstract

Prediction of patient outcomes is critical to plan resources in an hospital emergency department. We present a method to exploit longitudinal data from Electronic Medical Records (EMR), whilst exploiting multiple patient outcomes. We divide the EMR data into segments where each segment is a task, and all tasks are associated with multiple patient outcomes over a 3, 6 and 12 month period. We propose a model that learns a prediction function for each task-label pair, interacting through two subspaces: the first subspace is used to impose sharing across all tasks for a given label. The second subspace captures the task-specific variations and is shared across all the labels for a given task. The proposed model is formulated as an iterative optimization problems and solved using a scalable and efficient Block co-ordinate descent (BCD) method. We apply the proposed model on two hospital cohorts - Cancer and Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) patients collected over a two year period from a large hospital emergency department. We show that the predictive performance of our proposed models is significantly better than those of several state-of-the-art multi-task and multi-label learning methods.

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Correspondence to Budhaditya Saha .

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Saha, B., Gupta, S.K., Venkatesh, S. (2015). Prediciton of Emergency Events: A Multi-Task Multi-Label Learning Approach. In: Cao, T., Lim, EP., Zhou, ZH., Ho, TB., Cheung, D., Motoda, H. (eds) Advances in Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. PAKDD 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9077. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18038-0_18

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18038-0_18

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